The Impact of COVID -19 on Project Financing and Emerging Markets

In my last article, I wrote about "what might be the next for Real Estate in Asia Post-COVID-19". This time, I want to discuss the impact of COVID-19 on Project Financing and Emerging Markets. For those of you who are Project Owner(s), Developer(s), or Sponsor(s) out there, understand that it is not easy to secure project financing. Most projects are lost either due to the lack of funding or not receiving funding at all. A pandemic like COVID-19 added to an additional layer of an already challenging situation for procuring financing.

The COVID-19 pandemic could reinforce world market segmentation, exacerbating a trend that has been gathering pace since the financial crisis. Although the Covid-19 pandemic proved to be humanity's dangerous equalizer, regardless of race and ethnicity, the vaccine for it also exposed the troubling disparity between advanced and developing economies.

Many countries are in a bind, urgently trying to find out how political and economic problems can be addressed. No less muddy is the commercial domain. For example, like many other countries trying to combat the COVID-19 pandemic, Malaysia was not spared. The Malaysian economy has grappled with the middle-income trap, the existence of an unreasonably large migrant force, and the lack of sufficient technological innovation and improvement. As these variables have consumed political discourse at the macroeconomic level, other concerns have distracted individuals, including the issue of adequate and convenient healthcare, cheap housing, the lack of ability to attract international financing, and high household debt.
Liquidity Constraints
The effects on liquidity (and its knock-on effect on pricing) in the debt markets is one direct challenge to the procurement and financing of greenfield projects. The financial crisis of 2008 saw bank liquidity for project construction decline sharply, with some banks essentially withdrawing from the market. With regulatory reform in the years to come, banks should now be better able to handle financial market volatility, and policymakers have been eager to announce stimulus packages to avert a crisis. There's been a slowdown in international project finance as well. Although the majority of enforcement concerns would relate to the borrower, possible pitfalls for lenders will also be present, including:

Funding: Should the recession affect individual lenders' ability to finance drawdowns, this may result in the credit documents causing defaulting lender provisions unless the problem can be defined as a disturbance to the broader financial markets.

Voting:
Plans for skeleton staffing or absences due to illness may lead to delays in responding to voting requests, potentially causing banks to fall foul of snooze and lose provisions.

Agency functions:
Banks engaged in agency positions can be hampered by their ability to execute administrative functions and to handle lender community communications.

Rating downgrades:
Banks that are suffering from rating downgrades can become ineligible for financing to perform the functions of an LC provider, account bank, or hedge provider, or else to be 'Approved Bank.'

Due Diligence:
As part of their due diligence analysis, lenders would need to consider COVID-19 and its consequences, including its influence on the capacity of the host government to fulfill support commitments through multiple projects, any currency indexation clauses in project documents, information covenants, insurance policy exclusions, the ability of project counterparties to meet their obligations wherever they are involved.

Operational Projects: 
Borrowers and supporters should be mindful of clauses in their funding documentation in current projects that could be activated as the situation progresses. Where practicable, these concerns should be defined in advance to allow an organized dialogue to be obtained in advance with lenders and exemptions to prevent problems of default and cross-default before they occur. COVID-19 related circumstances can cause different aspects of the documentation:

Operational Impairment:
Labor or spare parts shortages can result in decreased operations or, in the worst-case scenario, outages. Force majeure relief may be available to undersupply/offtake agreements, but this will not translate into financial records where debt repayment schedules will be calculated. Some ventures, usually those in the commodity-based industries, may include restricted provisions for deferred repayment of their debt, which may allow repayment of debt for a maximum of one or two repayment dates. Otherwise, for about six months, debt service reserve funds could offer relief. To minimize the effects of operational problems, borrowers would also need to think about insurance availability.

Financial Ratios:
Projects exposed to demand or price risk (particularly those exposed to commodity markets or the transport sector that may be severely affected by social lockdowns) may suffer a breach of forward-looking financial ratios as economic forecasts worsen. Utility-based ventures should be pretty well removed from these problems for now, with long-term fixed-price offtake agreements, given their operations are unaffected. In such incidents, financial ratios are primarily organized only as historical, based on actual evidence, so they are not vulnerable to pessimistic forward-looking estimates.

Material Adverse Effect Clauses: 
For projects comprising stand-alone MAE/MAC clauses, circumstances related to COVID-19 will likely cause these. However, the events under which this could occur should be restricted because these clauses are usually drawn up in such a way that they are caused only by events that have a direct effect on the project rather than by a broader macro-economic or social climate. To the degree that covenants or default incidents are individually caused, carve-outs and qualifications of material adverse effects will need to be checked. Again, assuming that such regulations are drawn upon customary market terms, they should be triggered only to the degree that the project has an identifiable effect.

Information Undertakings:
Borrowers should be aware of their duty to inform lenders of material circumstances affecting the project, such as commercial counterparty notices or claims of force majeure. These reporting responsibilities also have very limited timeframes, and creditors are at risk of breaking their financial records before realizing they have an obligation.
Rating Downgrades: project sponsors may be subject to downgrades in their credit scores, making them ineligible to provide financial documents with corporate guarantees to back up obligations or enable them to collateralize those obligations with cash.

I hope you will find this article useful in some way, and if you or know of any companies looking for Project Funding, please reach out to us. We have access to the funds you need to get your project funded. We have partnered with lenders specialized in project financing. They have funded projects in Billions of Dollars globally in various types of projects. We work with projects located in US-friendly countries/and or countries not located in politically sensitive jurisdictions.
I hope you will find this article useful in some way, and if you or know of any companies looking for Project Funding, please reach out to us. We have access to the funds you need to get your project funded. We have partnered with lenders specialized in project financing. They have funded projects in Billions of Dollars globally in various types of projects. We work with projects located in US-friendly countries/and or countries not located in politically sensitive jurisdictions.

To learn more about Project Funding in general, please click here!

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Global Energy Project Funding, please click here!

Thank you for reading this article, and reach out to us if you have any questions.

Sincerely,

Murat Wahab
Founder and Principal
Hakim Saya
www.hakimsaya.com

Hakim Saya
is a boutique consulting firm based in San Francisco, California. We support cross-border relations between the USA and Asia (outside of China), and we assist domestic and international companies in getting Access To Capital. We are proud members of the global community, helping to support and grow local and international companies by providing unique and creative solutions to our clients. We utilize our national and international network of direct lenders to offer financing options that meet our client's specific needs.